Not The Next Microsoft--But Maybe As Important
Yunus, of course, is one of the creators of the microfinance concept, which has expanded from his native Bangladesh and now serves some 100 million clients around the world.
Linked via the invaluable WBCSD website, this report from Deutsche Bank details the growth of the microfinance sector, categorizes the many microcredit institutions around the world according to their profitability, and offers ideas concerning the future prospects of microfinance as an investment opportunity. Key findings include:
Amongst all SRIs [social responsible investments], microfinance investments increasingly attract institutional and individual investors due to their double bottom line. While they allow investors to adopt a social investment strategy geared toward poverty alleviation they offer an attractive risk-return profile at the same time. . . .
By 2015, we expect institutional and individual investments in microfinance to rise sharply to around USD 20 bn. The underlying assumptions are that (1) microfinance will gradually evolve into a niche investment product that will increasingly attract retail investors and benefit from the general strong rise in SRIs. Furthermore, it will appeal to a wider range of commercial investors as it might even be conducive to investors' portfolio diversification. (2) A critical mass of MFIs [microfinance institutions] will over time become capable of absorbing foreign funding.
The report goes on to list the world's fifty leading MFIs, beginning with Grameen Bank, with its almost seven million borrowers and a return on equity of over 22 percent, and including such well-known and financially successful institutions as Compartamos in Mexico, ACSI in Ethiopia, and Equity Bank in Kenya.
It's remarkable to see microcredit, which was born just a little over thirty years ago when an economics professor reached into his pocket for $27 to help a handful of starving villagers in Bangladesh, attracting this level of interest from the financial community while still maintaining its roots in the developing world and its historic role of helping poor people lift themselves and their families out of poverty.
As you might expect, the success of microcredit as a business response to social needs has attracted a few skeptics, especially those from what might be called the "anti-development-aid" community. Here are the latest comments I've seen from Thomas Dichter, author of Despite Good Intentions: Why Development Assistance to the Third World Has Failed and co-editor of a new book devoted to "debunking" microcredit:"The biggest myth about this [microfinance] is that it goes to start a business," said Thomas Dichter, the co-editor of What's Wrong With Microfinance?What strange comments these are from a supposed expert on microfinance. Concerning the comparison to Bill Gates: Check out the list of top-50 MFIs from the Deutsche Bank report. The last column of the table lists average loan sizes offered by the microfinance institutions listed. They range from $35 (from an MFI in Bangladesh) to $2,601 (from one in Chile). These loans would seem to be on the small size if the idea is to launch the next Microsoft or to create the next Bill Gates.
Borrowers use the money to survive, by earning a few pennies a day, selling bags of rice or cups of tea, he said.
"Let's not make the mistake that these are mini-entrepreneurs or future Bill Gateses. They are not," said Dichter, an international development consultant. "They are just trying to get by."
But, of course, no one associated with microfinance actually speaks in terms of creating the next mega-enterprise. The whole idea of microcredit is to help people start tiny businesses (micro, get it?) that will enable them to support themselves and their families in decent fashion.
If this involves "selling bags of rice or cups of tea"--activities that Dichter seems to regard with contempt--then so be it. Some people might consider that preferable to letting people starve.
And when the borrowers multiply until you have hundreds of thousands or millions of them--which has now actually happened in one country after another--you end up with financial institutions of respectable size, providing useful services, at a profit, to large customer bases.
The essence of sustainable business is thinking creatively--looking at actual conditions on the ground and letting those dictate the business strategy, rather than trying to solve a real-world problem by imposing preconceived definitions. Perhaps "experts" like Dichter are having trouble leaving behind their preconceived definitions of "business" and "entrepreneur" and recognizing that, in a poor village in Pakistan, South Africa, or Ecuador, a useful business might be one that sells rice or tea rather than computer software.
And as a result, these "experts" have trouble seeing that microfinance is turning into one of the most significant business success stories of our time. By contrast, the actual Bill Gates, through his foundation, is offering financial support to microfinance in Latin America.
Unlike Dichter, Gates knows a good business idea when he sees one.
Labels: Base of the Pyramid, Bill Gates, Deutsche Bank, Grameen Bank, Microsoft, Muhammad Yunus, Thomas Dichter
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